Property Auction Insights
March 2024
Kicking off our 2024 insights, we have taken a retrospective look at the performance of property auctions over the previous year, alongside an analysis of how property yields have been influenced by the prevailing economic conditions. Our focus also extends to the implications of new legislation on auctions, the ways in which buyers currently engage with essential information before sales, and the necessary changes to better inform new participants about the auction process to help them steer clear of common pitfalls.
The regional statistics section at this report's conclusion continues to offer quarterly updates on both sales figures and yield data. This enhancement aims to provide you with the latest and most nuanced understanding of the market dynamics in your region, thereby improving your ability to spot prime investment opportunities.
Focus on: 2023 | Year in Review
2023 was a varied year in the property market, and the auctions arena was not exempt from these wider changes. As has been seen in our monthly newsletters, we have been experiencing some of the busiest months for auction sales in history. More sellers are turning to auction, which has led us to see a 16% increase in the number of properties arriving at auction, with the large majority of these being residential stock. The year finished off with a 13.3% increase in the number of properties sold under the hammer.
Despite the increase in sales, the total raised for 2023 only saw a nominal increase of 1.1%, ending at £4,829m compared to £4,779m in 2022. This has meant that we continued to see the fall and subsequent levelling out of average sale prices that began at the tail end of 2022 for the auctions arena. While the overall annual average for 2023 sits at a 10.8% drop on the previous, there were positive signs of recovery during Q4 which have continued into the start of 2024. While the impact of increasing interest and mortgage rates was felt industry wide especially in the second half of last year, the increase in demand has been outwardly noticeable too, and we look forward to reviewing how the auctions market fares during this first quarter.
Annual Comparison 2022 to 2023
The data shown in the graphs below includes all unconditional sales from 2023, including individual online auctions. Note the dip for January and August, which is common due to a lower number of auctions taking place during the month.
Lots Sold
Total Raised
Average Sale Price
Focus on: Property Yields into 2023
In our first edition of Property Auction Insights, we delved into the world of tenanted properties and those generating an income for prospective buyers. We wanted to revisit this topic and to see what impact the wider economic changes have had on this particular sector of the market.
National Overview
In our Q3 Property Auction Insights, we investigated what was triggering this rise, and saw that the primary driver appears to be divesting landlords choosing to sell vacant properties in an environment where rents were not able to rise in tandem with increasing costs. Due to this, the volume of tenanted stock nationally fell by 7.3% compared to 2022. However, the stock that did come to market has benefited from average yield increases of 1.5% year on year.
Looking at the property type sectors, the average yield increases in Commercial and Mixed Use stock towards the end of 2023 were particularly noticeable. Residential saw a more gradual increase, with the impact of cost of living affecting rental incomes, which is backed up by the research released by Zoopla in December 2023 showing the growth of rent reduction requests across the country.
Regional Analysis
When looking at the regional annual overview, most regions are seeing strong yields being returned and an overall average yield increase by 1.8% . Wales and Northern Ireland appear to be standout performers; however it is important to note the lower volume of stock for these regions can demonstrate mild fluctuations more intensely. Other regions such as the North West experienced above average increases, with average yields growing by 3.0% from 8.9% in 2022 to 11.9% in 2023.
As we mentioned in last year's yield review, Scotland had been enjoying average yields of 16%, however the Cost of Living (Tenant Protection) (Scotland) Act 2022 could have an impact on that buoyancy. Shown below, the average did in fact drop by 2.5%, from 15.8% in 2022 to 13.3% for 2023. This levelling of the market was expected, but with the associated average sale price falling, there has been a rebound shown during Q4 for the region.
Region Name | Avg Sale Price | Yield | Change |
---|---|---|---|
South-East Home Counties | £390,953 | 7.5% | 1.3% |
North-East | £124,769 | 10.9% | 0.7% |
East Midlands | £271,533 | 9.0% | 1.2% |
Yorkshire and The Humber | £171,957 | 10.9% | 1.3% |
South-West | £366,290 | 8.9% | 1.8% |
West Midlands | £214,733 | 9.9% | 1.9% |
North-West | £148,475 | 11.9% | 3.0% |
North-West Home Counties | £478,891 | 6.8% | 0.9% |
Wales | £156,429 | 14.1% | 5.3% |
Scotland | £273,725 | 13.3% | -2.5% |
Northern Ireland | £69,346 | 12.9% | 6.6% |
East Anglia | £261,957 | 8.9% | 1.4% |
London | £536,030 | 6.2% | 0.8% |
For the full regional breakdown and analysis for the past five years, please see the Regional Data section towards the end of the page.
Commentary on: Material Information
Material Information has been a recent hot topic in the property industry, with National Trading Standards providing clear guidance to all property professionals as to what should be included in details when selling or letting a property. Auctions have always been ahead of the game when it comes to transparency for customers, needing to provide the up-front information to allow prospective buyers to carry out their due diligence in advance of placing a bid. This is either presented directly within the marketing materials, or within the provided legal packs ahead of the sale, and all prospective buyers are advised to seek legal advice prior to bidding.
But does this always happen? We reviewed over 18,000 properties that went to auction during 2023 to see the truth behind legal packs and how bidders interact with them.
So, when is the best time to seek legal advice? We assessed the average situation at set points- 28 days prior, 21 days prior, 14 days prior, 7 days prior, 3 days prior, and the day prior to sale. On average, 7 days before the auction seems to be the optimal time to start interrogating the legal pack as at this time 86.7% of lots had documents to download, with on average 11 files available to view out of the 13 files we would generally see before bidding commencing. The day before auction, 99.5% of lots had 13 files available to download. However we would not recommend waiting for any information that may be material in your decision.
Average Number of Documents Available Prior to Auction
Legal Pack Availability
There are key documents you would expect to see as part of a legal pack. In particular, the Special Conditions of Sale are one of the must-read files, as this outlines aspects like completion times, additional fees and any other pertinent information you should be aware of prior to bidding. We looked into legal packs where a file was uploaded with a specified file name indicating Special Conditions.
When doing this, it was clear that this particular file was generally one of the last to be uploaded, jumping from 67% of lots having this file available a week prior to auction, to 88% three days before sale. More interestingly, 4.6% of lots had the special conditions uploaded on the day of the auction itself, leaving limited time for due diligence purposes. There are numerous reasons why the legal pack may not be complete until just before the start of the sale and it is prudent to ensure every document is thoroughly examined and any queries satisfied before placing a bid.
We have a handy guide to what you should expect to see in a legal pack on our website if you would like to read more.
Regional Data
Every quarter we will be including regional data from the past five years, including the number of lots sold and the average sale price, and now average yield too. This allows you to track what is happening across the country, to spot trends, and see how changes in the wider market may be affecting auctions.
The data in these charts consist of all auction sales on a quarterly basis, including individual single lot sales.
Data for all unconditional auction sales.
Data for all unconditional auction sales where there is an income.
London
South East Home Counties
South West
Yorkshire & The Humber
North West
North East
West Midlands
East Midlands
East Anglia
Scotland
Wales
North West Home Counties
Northern Ireland
Regional Data Analysis
It is evident that broader economic impacts reverberate across various regions, exemplified by the repercussions of Covid-induced lockdowns on the auction market in 2020. Additionally, the noteworthy surge in properties entering the auction sphere in 2023 further underscores the dynamic nature of the market. While analysing this data, it is the imperative to consider the number of properties coming to auction, especially in less bustling regions. More pronounced fluctuations may occur owing to the comparatively smaller datasets, which may provide a less accurate portrayal of the current market conditions in that region.
Closing Summary
Amidst a backdrop of declining house prices, property auctions have seen a remarkable surge in activity, making the past year one of the most bustling periods on record. Auctions remain a vital avenue for acquisition, appealing to both experienced investors and newcomers alike. However, the importance of comprehensive due diligence cannot be overstated, as it is crucial for achieving a favourable investment outcome.
The auction process stands out for its transparency, offering direct access to essential legal documentation, and it is imperative that all potential bidders fully utilise this resource to resolve any queries before the auction concludes, rather than leaving it to fate.
As we move into 2024, the auction scene is already setting impressive records, and we will be closely monitoring the developments throughout this initial quarter. To stay abreast of the latest market trends, make sure you have subscribed to receive our monthly newsletters.
If there are any topics you would like us to focus on in future releases, or you have any feedback or thoughts you would like to share, please contact us on insights@eigroup.co.uk.
David Leary
PS. Our next edition will be released in June 2024, so if you are not already on our newsletter mailing list, sign up today!
Disclaimer: The figures in this newsletter are based on sales data provided to us by the auctioneers.